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Ashton Jeanty Injury: Raiders-Dolphins Odds and Week 1 Pick
Ashton Jeanty (ankle) is "on the mend" per Klint Kubiak. Raiders-Dolphins Week 1 odds, spread, over/under, Mike Washington Jr.'s role and the betting angles.
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Ashton Jeanty (ankle) is "on the mend" per Klint Kubiak. Raiders-Dolphins Week 1 odds, spread, over/under, Mike Washington Jr.'s role and the betting angles.
Klint Kubiak would not put a timeline on Ashton Jeanty on Tuesday, saying only that his second-year back is "on the mend" and declining to rule out injured reserve. Jeanty is believed to have sprained his ankle in Sunday's practice, per ESPN's Adam Schefter and NFL Network's Ian Rapoport, and could not put weight on his right leg leaving the field. Las Vegas hosts Miami on Sunday, Sept. 13 at 4:25 p.m. ET at Allegiant Stadium as a 3.5-point favorite at -198, with the total at 40.5, tied for the second lowest of Week 1.
Everything and nothing. Jeanty took 266 carries last season; every other Raiders back combined for 41. He owned 71.1% of the carries, 83.3% of the inside-the-5 work and a 14.8% target share. Yet across the 218 snaps he sat, Las Vegas produced minus 0.190 expected points per play against minus 0.193 with him on the field. The role is enormous. The team's per-play output did not depend on him.
Jeanty gained just 1.28 yards before contact, dead last among backs with 200-plus carries, behind a line that graded second worst in the NFL at run blocking. After contact, where the runner does his own work, he gained 2.38, ahead of Christian McCaffrey, Saquon Barkley and Breece Hall. Every Raiders back was buried the same way: Mostert 1.00, Zamir White 1.17, Dylan Laube 0.14. Jeanty was the best of the four behind the same blocking.
Chip Kelly is gone. Kubiak is an under-center, heavy-personnel caller whose 21-personnel usage has graded between the 84th and 87th percentile at three stops; Las Vegas ran it on 0.6% of snaps last season and projects near 18.8%, the largest scheme shift forecast for any team. The Raiders also imported center Tyler Linderbaum from Baltimore, whose run-blocking plus-minus grades 1.83 standard deviations above average. For a back whose only real flaw was yards before contact, that is the specific fix.
Bet the player market, not the game market. If the offense produced the same expected points per play without Jeanty, his status is a weak argument for moving the total or the spread and a strong one for moving a rushing line. Mike Washington Jr. has the starting reps and would inherit 71% of the carries behind a better line against a Miami defense that allowed 106.9 rushing yards per game to backs, eighth most generous. Ignore his 7.9 preseason average on 15 carries. Wait for the injured reserve call, which would cost Jeanty at least four games, then act.
Is Ashton Jeanty playing in Week 1 against the Dolphins?
Unclear. Kubiak said Tuesday that Jeanty is "on the mend" but would not confirm a timeline or rule out injured reserve, which would cost him at least four games.
What is the Raiders vs. Dolphins spread and total?
Las Vegas opened as a 3.5-point home favorite at -198, with Miami at +164 and the total at 40.5, tied for the second lowest of Week 1.
Why was Ashton Jeanty's rookie yards per carry so low?
Blocking. He gained 1.28 yards before contact, last among high-volume backs, behind the NFL's second-worst run-blocking line. His 2.38 after contact was mid-pack, and every other Raiders back fared worse before contact.
Who replaces Ashton Jeanty for the Raiders?
Rookie fourth-round pick Mike Washington Jr. has taken the majority of the starting reps. He ran for 119 yards on 15 preseason carries.
Where and when is Raiders vs. Dolphins?
Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, Sunday, Sept. 13, 2026 at 4:25 p.m. ET.
ItemDetailMatchupMiami Dolphins at Las Vegas Raiders (Week 1)Date / timeSunday, Sept. 13, 2026, 4:25 p.m. ETVenueAllegiant Stadium, Las Vegas (dome, grass)SpreadRaiders -3.5 (-110 both sides)MoneylineRaiders -198 / Dolphins +164Total40.5 (-110 both sides), tied second lowest in Week 1Implied team totalsRaiders 22.0 / Dolphins 18.5CoachesKlint Kubiak (LV) vs. Jeff Hafley (MIA)StatusJeanty (ankle) "on the mend," IR not ruled out
Odds subject to change. Please gamble responsibly. 1-800-GAMBLER.
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